James Holzhauer speaks about 2019 NFL Playing Suggestions & Worst Bets

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ABC

James Holzhauer

As NFL training camps prepare to open this, NBC Sports' Peter King sat down with Jeopardy! Master James Holzhauer, the professional player who won $ 2.4 million on his 33-part winning streak in the Trivia series, asked him for advice on betting on football for the coming season.

How its danger! Holzhauer is so good at betting on soccer that most Vegas sportsbooks have limited the number of bets. And while he's a Chicago Bears fan, Holzhauer grew up in Naperville, Illinois. The player would never make the rookie mistake of betting with their heart. In fact, the 35-year-old would be more comfortable on the pitch if he could play the sport.

When I speak of his time in the hot seat of Jeopardy! He said, "It's a lot easier when I'm doing the job than when I see a player fumble my bet at the last minute. You get the idea that money comes and goes, especially in this industry. I'm a Professional athletes. You have winning days and you have losing days. But you know if you have the right strategy, you will get it in the end. "

As the NFL training camps open this week, Holzhauer said the following about the best bets for teams in the 2020 Super Bowl and more …

1. Don't believe the hype surrounding the Cleveland Browns

Holzhauer doesn't buy the hype when it comes to the Cleveland Browns, in fact he laughs at the thought. He said, "If you're looking to invest in a futures ticket, I'd say it's important to look away from the teams that have all the hype around them." I can't believe we live in a world where the Cleveland Browns are the most hyped team this preseason. But I would say that they are probably the worst possible bet to win the Super Bowl. "

2. It will likely be these two "boring" teams in the Super Bowl

Super Bowl LIII – New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams

When it comes to Super Bowl LIV, which is due to take place on February 2, 2020, Holzhauer can't help but name the two best bets, which are a repeat from last year. "If I had to pick a team or two to make it to the Super Bowl, to win the Super Bowl, the boring answer is the Patriots and the Rams," he said. "Everyone knows these guys are the best teams out there."

3. The trick in choosing futures bets

Holzhauer likes to rely on teams with playoff byes. "If you dig deep into the numbers," he said, "you can get an idea of ​​which teams have the insider trail and the tiebreakers come into play during the bye weeks." There are times when there is a good chance two teams will finish second and third, but one team has the tiebreaker locked and you don't always see that in the odds. "

"The only seed just because he only had two home games would win the conference about 35 percent of the time and make it to the Super Bowl," he said. “The two teams do it about 29 percent and the three seeds do it like 11 percent. That's just a huge gap between the two and the three. For at least the last five or six years, something like that, you've kept seeing a seed and two get into the Super Bowl. "

4. Bet on Sundays or on college football

Like Jeopardy !, where he always started at the bottom of the grid and was always strategic, he has a certain routine when it comes to betting on the NFL. "If they increase the chances of next week's football game on a Sunday night, it won't be given much thought," he said. "But you give people a week to bet on. The odds get a lot more efficient."

If you can't make it into the sports books on a Sunday, Holzhauer suggests betting on college football as these games don't get as much attention.

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