OK. So they believe Cardinal quarterback Kyler Murray will race at least 75 yards in an upcoming game.
Wanna bet on it
That would become legal in Arizona under a plan by Governor Doug Ducey. And you can even do that from your phone.
Also, look for legalized betting on "fantasy" leagues. If Keno is your thing, that would be available too – but not everywhere.
And there could be more tribal casinos with more types of games.
It's all about the details Capitol Media Services received on Monday about the multi-layered proposal that would vastly expand the nature of legal betting, both here and outside the reservation.
However, this is not just about giving Arizona residents easier access to place bets.
Most importantly, the plan – and the deal Ducey negotiated with tribes that currently have exclusive rights to most forms of gaming in Arizona – would generate new dollars for the state and allow the governor to keep his promise of no taxes to raise. Depending on the revenues, they could even help Ducey finally get closer to his multi-year pledge to bring the state's income tax rate as close to zero as possible.
It's a really complex deal.
On the one hand are the tribes.
A 2002 initiative they launched and voted for by voters allowed them to run casinos to give the state a share of the profits. That generated $ 31.7 million in the last quarter.
Sen. T.J. Shope, R-Coolidge, who sponsors one of the versions of the plan, told Capitol Media Services that more casinos and more games like craps could give Arizona people more opportunities to play closer to home.
"Obviously the allure of Vegas will always be there," said Shope. "I go a couple of times a year myself."
But he also assumes there is an audience for local extended games. Look, Shope said, people coming into town for spring training or the Phoenix Open.
"For that person interested in doing something in the afternoons and evenings when the ball game is over, they'll be able to take advantage of that option," he said.
The same formula for dividing the tribes' income would last for the next 20 years. But more casinos and more games would probably generate more dollars.
But the really big money – nobody in the governor's office gives out numbers – could come from the state's share of newly approved off-reservation games if lawmakers agree.
Shope acknowledged that this will result in a sharp increase in the number of gambling laws in Arizona. But he said it's at least in part an acknowledgment of reality.
Take Fantasy League bets.
"Fantasy sports have been played for years," said Shope.
In essence, players “draw” real players for a fake team they created. Then your team “plays” another wrong team, with the winner being determined using a point system. This would mean that the state players would license the major players like DraftKings and presumably get a share of the bets.
And it's not just football and baseball. These online sites allow betting on everything from basketball and hockey to golf, soccer and NASCAR races.
The bigger change is being able to bet on college and pro games.
The door to this opened in 2018 when the U.S. Supreme Court annulled the 1992 Law to Protect Professional and Amateur Sports. This federal law made it illegal for states to legalize sports betting.
Ducey said in 2019 that he was interested in moving Arizona to the area.
However, this was not a legal option due to this 2002 initiative that not only gave the tribes the right to operate casinos for the next 20 years, but also specifically prevented the state from implementing any form of gambling that was at the time did not exist.
After those contracts expired, Ducey opened the door to renegotiate.
For university sports, the only permissible form would be to bet on the outcome of a game.
But for those looking for a bit more excitement, the law would also allow “prop betting” on professional games.
Short for "proposition bets", these include pretty much anything other than the final result or the distribution of points. You focus more on the performance of a single player.
The “where” of everything is a bit more complex.
What Ducey is proposing is 20 licenses, half of which are reserved for the tribes. The other half is split between sports teams or franchises in Arizona.
So the Cardinals as well as the Diamondbacks, the Suns, the Coyotes, NASCAR and the Professional Golf Association could get one. And they, in turn, would sign contracts with secondary locations to serve as off-track betting shops.
However, there is the option of actually sitting at home or somewhere and betting over the phone. Shope is pleased.
"The ease of being able to do this over the phone is definitely a desire of the average person who does such things," he said.
Shope described himself as "a great athletic nut".
"Not everyone will do this," said Shope. "But I think there is an appetite to indulge in it out there."
For those interested in something different, the new deal Ducey negotiated and now awaiting legislative approval includes keno.
It is a type of lottery game in which bettors choose numbers but are played far more frequently, possibly several times an hour. But so far, the 2002 tribal treaties like sports betting prohibit the state from offering them.
But don't try to make these bets from anywhere – or even where you can buy a lottery ticket now. The plan gives this exclusive right to "fraternal organizations" such as the Veterans of Foreign Wars, the Elks Club, and other similar websites.
Shope said the restriction was justified. He said these organizations "suffered" across the country as younger people – he is 35 – "don't do this anymore".
"That's why membership in all of these groups is dwindling," he said. Shope said he was willing to help – and give them the exclusive right to make money on keno – because "they are doing a lot of good for the community".
It will still be the Arizona Lottery that will ultimately run the games and spit out the winning numbers. And as with casino betting, fantasy leagues, and sports betting, the state will get a share of all bets.
In a way, the underdogs are the state's horse tracks. The deal Ducey negotiated with the tribes prevents them from operating "racinos," which essentially allows some forms of casino gaming.
But Shope said they had their chance.
He pointed out that the titles brought their own initiative to the 2002 vote that would give both them and the tribes the opportunity to play casino games.
"It was crushed," said Shope.